LaLiga

We play every game still to come 5,000 times with our match model, from the table as it stands. These are the shares of those seasons that end with each club as champion, in the top places or going down.

The title race

Favourite

Barcelona

chance of winning the league

61%

1. 1Barcelona61%
2. 2Real Madrid29%
3. 3Atlético9%

The race for the top 4

1. Barcelona99%
2. Real Madrid99%
3. Atlético91%
4. Betis40%
5. Athletic24%
6. Sociedad20%

The relegation fight

1. Málaga68%
2. Racing36%
3. Levante35%
4. Elche25%
5. Valencia24%
6. Espanyol23%

Every club's chancesHide the full list

Season chances for every club, in table order

#	Club	Title	Top 4	Down
1	BARBarcelona	61%	99%	–
2	ATMAtlético Madrid	9%	91%	–
3	RMAReal Madrid	29%	99%	–
4	BETReal Betis	<1%	40%	<1%
5	RSOReal Sociedad	<1%	20%	1%
6	SEVSevilla	–	7%	3%
7	ATHAthletic Club	<1%	24%	1%
8	DEPDeportivo A Coruña	–	2%	10%
9	VILVillarreal	–	9%	3%
10	CELCelta Vigo	–	2%	9%
11	ALADeportivo Alavés	–	1%	15%
12	RAYRayo Vallecano	–	3%	9%
13	GETGetafe	–	<1%	20%
14	ESPEspanyol	–	<1%	23%
15	OSAOsasuna	–	1%	20%
16	RACRacing Santander	–	1%	36%
17	ELCElche	–	1%	25%
18	LEVLevante	–	<1%	35%
19	VALValencia	–	1%	24%
20	MALMálaga	–	–	68%

Each simulated season also shifts every team's strength a little, because ratings are never certain and form changes. Updated after every round. How the odds are made