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Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, LaLiga

Kick-off
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Anoeta

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Real Sociedad

4-4-2

Rayo Vallecano

4-3-3

  • Remiro
  • Gómez
  • Sarr
  • Martín
  • Aramburu
  • Guedes
  • Gorrotxategi
  • Soler
  • Ochieng
  • Oyarzabal
  • Óskarsson
  • Audero
  • Pedrosa
  • Lejeune
  • Sadick
  • Rațiu
  • López
  • Díaz
  • Ciss
  • Tsitaishvili
  • Camello
  • de Frutos

Bench

  • 24Sučić
  • 7Barrenetxea
  • 21Herrera
  • 5Zubeldia
  • 13Marrero
  • 8Turrientes
  • 22Fort

Bench

  • 36Gnangoro
  • 20Balliu
  • 9Alemão
  • 7Isi
  • 33Vertrouwd
  • 1Cárdenas
  • 21Pérez

Real Sociedad

From 15 games this season; 4-4-2, the shape in 90% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Aramburu or Fort
  • Ochieng or Sučić
  • Óskarsson or Sučić

Out or doubtful

  • ZakharyanInjured, expected back Back in training
  • BeitiaInjured, expected back Back in training

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Rayo Vallecano

From 11 games this season; 4-3-3, the shape in 58% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Rațiu or Balliu
  • Tsitaishvili or Gnangoro

Out or doubtful

  • Álvaro GarcíaInjured, expected back early December
  • ValentínInjured, expected back late November
  • KumbullaDoubtful
  • BatallaInjured, expected back early January

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Giovanni Batista Rodriguez from San Sebastian-Donostia, Espa / CC BY-SA 2.0 · pantkiewicz / CC BY-SA 2.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Estevoaei / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Valencia CF / CC BY 3.0 · Антон Зайцев / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Антон Зайцев, CC BY-SA 3.0 · MaestroDash / CC0 · Ivan_Balliu.jpg : Foto realizada por Javier Segura (@castroq / CC BY 2.0 · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona / CC BY-SA 2.0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Real Sociedad

5th in the table

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D
Goals
15–6
xG for / against
9.8–7.6
xG difference per game
+0.44

Rayo Vallecano

12th in the table

  1. D
  2. D
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
Goals
8–7
xG for / against
10.1–6.1
xG difference per game
+0.79

From our model

Our call

Our call

2–1

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • RSO 56%
  • Draw 24%
  • RAY 20%

Likeliest scores

  1. 2–0

    10%

  2. 2–1

    10%

  3. 1–1

    9%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Real Sociedad's xG is up to 2.09 a game over their last 5, from 1.48 across the season
  • Real Sociedad have scored 14 from 10.4 xG in their last 5
  • Last meeting: Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Sociedad (26 Apr 2026)

This season

Players to watch

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.