Valencia v Real Madrid, LaLiga
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Estadio de Mestalla
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Valencia
4-4-2
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1
- 1Dimitrievski
14Gayà- 12De Haas
- 18Pepelu
- 24Maffeo
- 11Rioja
2Rodríguez- 23Ugrinic
- 19Raba
7Danjuma- 8Guerra
1Courtois
17Cucurella
16Konaté
4Huijsen
12Alexander-Arnold
14Tchouaméni
20Bernardo Silva
25Diomande
5Bellingham
15Güler
10Mbappé
Bench
- 5Tárrega
- 9Hugo Duro
- 22Martínez
- 21Vázquez
- 4Diakhaby
- 33Mayol
- 39Sato
Bench
- 8Valverde
22Rüdiger
6Camavinga24Dumfries
18Carreras
9Endrick
21Brahim
Valencia
From 11 games this season; 4-4-2, the shape in 46% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- De Haas or Tárrega
- Danjuma or Hugo Duro
- Guerra or Hugo Duro
- Pepelu or Tárrega
- Raba or Tárrega
Out or doubtful
- OtorbiInjured, expected back early December
- van OevelenInjured, expected back mid December
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Real Madrid
From 15 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Alexander-Arnold or Valverde
Out or doubtful
- Vinícius Jr.Suspended, expected back early November
- AsencioInjured, expected back early January
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Carla Cortés / CC BY 2.0 · Los Doble 7 / CC BY 3.0 · Corne van Rossum / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · AFC Bournemouth / CC BY 3.0 · Dudek1337 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · LawEnthusiast / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Fotografías Archimadrid.es / CC BY 2.0 · Erjonallaraj, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Sport Lisboa e Benfica / CC BY 3.0 · YantsImages / CC BY-SA 4.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Valencia
19th in the table
- L
- D
- D
- L
- W
- Goals
- 6–7
- xG for / against
- 6.9–7.4
- xG difference per game
- −0.09
Real Madrid
3rd in the table
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- Goals
- 16–5
- xG for / against
- 14.6–5.5
- xG difference per game
- +1.82
From our model
Our call
Our call
0–2
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- VAL 13%
- Draw 18%
- RMA 69%
Likeliest scores
0–2
11%
0–3
10%
1–2
9%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Real Madrid's xG is down to 1.88 a game over their last 5, from 2.51 across the season
- Real Madrid have won 4 in a row
- Real Madrid took 12 points from their last 5, Valencia 5
- Last meeting: Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid (8 Feb 2026)
This season
Players to watch
Valencia
- Sadiq2 goals2 goals, 0 assists, 2.1 xG in 4 games
- Guerra2 assists0 goals, 2 assists, 1.2 xG in 11 games
Real Madrid
- Mbappé12 goals, 2 assists×1212 goals, 2 assists, 13.4 xG in 11 games
- Bellingham4 goals, 3 assists4 goals, 3 assists, 2.7 xG in 11 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.