Lens v Marseille, Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Lens
3-4-2-1
Marseille
4-2-3-1
40Risser
2Aguilar
6Baidoo
20Todibo
14Udol- 27Cuisance
21Haidara
23Abdulhamid
10Thauvin
7Sotoca- 29Ivanović
12De Lange
25Garcia
4Egan-Riley
21Aguerd
22Weah
23Højbjerg- 6Nnadi
14Paixão- 7Gomes
77Harit
9Gouiri
Bench
32Antonio
9Hazard
22Skóras- 8Titraoui
- 28Kadile
- 5Bulatović
24Gradit
Bench
8Abdelli- 19Kondogbia
- 74Bezahaf
11Maupay- 42Kamissoko
48Abdallah
18Meité
Lens
From 14 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Aguilar or Antonio
- Baidoo or Antonio
- Todibo or Antonio
Out or doubtful
- GaniouInjured, expected back late November
- ÉdouardInjured, expected back early January
- SimaInjured, expected back late November
- NawrockiInjured, expected back mid May
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Marseille
From 13 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 54% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Højbjerg or Abdelli
- Gomes or Abdelli
- Nnadi or Abdelli
- Garcia or Abdelli
- Harit or Abdelli
Out or doubtful
- EmersonInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
- CorneliusInjured, expected back early January
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · Supporterhéninois / CC0 · Steindy ( talk ) 21:08, 28 August 2018 (UTC) / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Foad Ashtari / CC BY 4.0 · Антон Зайцев / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sidney.Cortez / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Klapi / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Carlo Bruil Fotografie / CC BY 2.0 · Northside / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Laloumance / CC BY 4.0 · Ardfern / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Nawfel Ajari / CC BY-SA 4.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Lens
9th in the table
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- Goals
- 6–15
- xG for / against
- 5.3–10.7
- xG difference per game
- −1.07
Marseille
6th in the table
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- Goals
- 12–6
- xG for / against
- 7.4–9.2
- xG difference per game
- −0.35
From our model
Our call
Our call
2–1
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- RCL 44%
- Draw 25%
- MAR 31%
Likeliest scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
2–1
7%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Marseille have scored 14 from 8.6 xG in their last 5
- Lens's xG is down to 1.01 a game over their last 5, from 1.69 across the season
- Marseille have won 4 in a row
- Last meeting: Marseille 3-1 Lens (24 Jan 2026)
This season
Players to watch
Lens
- Thauvin4 goals, 7 assists×74 goals, 7 assists, 4.0 xG in 9 games
- Hazard1 goal, 1 assist1 goal, 1 assist, 1.6 xG in 7 games
Marseille
- Gouiri6 goals, 3 assists6 goals, 3 assists, 3.9 xG in 9 games
- Harit3 goals, 1 assist3 goals, 1 assist, 0.6 xG in 9 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.