Brest v Lyon, Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Stade Francis-Le Blé
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Brest
4-2-3-1
Lyon
4-3-3
1Selvik- 2Locko
- 4Lloris
29Tousart
70Lala
13Chotard
8Magnetti- 9Mboup
23Doumbia- 17Baldé
- 19Ajorque
- 1Greif
16Abner
20Bacher
19Niakhaté- 13Athekame
8Tolisso
6Tessmann
2Bidstrup
11Nakamura- 18Merah
- 26Boudache
Bench
6Diambou- 7Boende
- 10Versini
10Del Castillo- 21Kanté
11Edjouma- 32Laine
Bench
7Nuamah- 24Duranville
21Kluivert
99Nartey
22Mata
40Descamps- 45Himbert
Brest
From 9 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.
Out or doubtful
- Le GuenInjured, expected back late January
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Lyon
From 13 games this season; 4-3-3, the shape in 73% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Merah or Nuamah
- Boudache or Nuamah
Out or doubtful
- MortonInjured, expected back late November
- SulcInjured, expected back early January
- OpendaInjured, expected back mid November
- KangoInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
- OuédraogoInjured, expected back late June
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Steffen Prößdorf / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Liondartois / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Niels98 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · 3point.dk / CC BY 3.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Brest
10th in the table
- L
- W
- D
- L
- W
- Goals
- 10–6
- xG for / against
- 8.7–6.7
- xG difference per game
- +0.40
Lyon
3rd in the table
- W
- L
- L
- W
- D
- Goals
- 5–7
- xG for / against
- 5.9–6.2
- xG difference per game
- −0.06
From our model
Our call
Our call
0–1
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- BRS 32%
- Draw 26%
- LYO 42%
Likeliest scores
1–1
13%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Last meeting: Lyon 2-1 Brest (18 Jan 2026)
This season
Players to watch
Brest
- Doumbia4 goals, 1 assist4 goals, 1 assist, 4.4 xG in 9 games
- Ajorque4 goals, 1 assist4 goals, 1 assist, 3.0 xG in 9 games
Lyon
- Nuamah4 goals, 1 assist4 goals, 1 assist, 2.4 xG in 7 games
- Tolisso2 goals, 3 assists2 goals, 3 assists, 1.2 xG in 9 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.