Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Premier League
- Kick-off
- Venue
- The City Ground
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1
Manchester City
4-2-3-1
26Sels- 5Murillo
- 23Cunha
2Diomande
3Williams- 24McAtee
21Schlager
27Muñoz
14Ndoye
10Gibbs-White- 19Delap
1Donnarumma
24Gvardiol
3Dias
6Guéhi
27Nunes
7Ndiaye
5Anderson
17Enzo Fernández
32Bouaddi
47Foden
9Haaland
Bench
34Aina
31Milenkovic- 9Wood
- 6Sangaré
15Kalimuendo-Muinga
7Hudson-Odoi
25Netz
Bench
10Cherki- 45Khusanov
11Doku
33O'Reilly- 37Allan
8Kovačić
82Lewis
Nottingham Forest
From 10 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Diomande or Milenkovic
- Muñoz or Aina
Out or doubtful
- DominguezInjured, expected back About a week
- Igor JesusInjured, expected back early November
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Manchester City
From 16 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 89% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Dias or Khusanov
- Ndiaye or Cherki
- Enzo Fernández or Cherki
- Bouaddi or Cherki
- Nunes or Khusanov
- Gvardiol or O'Reilly
- Guéhi or Khusanov
- Foden or Cherki
Out or doubtful
- SemenyoInjured, expected back mid December
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Fotografía oficial de la Presidencia de Colombia / Public domain · Supporterhéninois / CC0 · Sebalston / CC0 · @cfcunofficial (Chelsea Debs) London / CC BY-SA 2.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Sebalston / CC BY 4.0 · Sven Mandel / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Original: MichaelEmilio / Derivative work: Danyele / CC BY 4.0 · Steffen Prößdorf / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Hameltion / CC BY-SA 4.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Nottingham Forest
19th in the table
- L
- L
- L
- D
- L
- Goals
- 2–8
- xG for / against
- 8.5–5.3
- xG difference per game
- +0.63
Manchester City
2nd in the table
- W
- L
- D
- L
- W
- Goals
- 11–8
- xG for / against
- 9.3–5.7
- xG difference per game
- +0.73
From our model
Our call
Our call
0–2
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- NFO 14%
- Draw 21%
- MCI 65%
Likeliest scores
0–2
13%
0–1
11%
0–3
10%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Nottingham Forest have scored 2 from 8.5 xG in their last 5
- Manchester City took 9 points from their last 5, Nottingham Forest 1
- Nottingham Forest haven't won in 5
- Manchester City create 2.19 xG a game lately; Nottingham Forest allow 1.03
This season
Players to watch
Nottingham Forest
- Gibbs-White1 goal, 2 assists1 goal, 2 assists, 2.5 xG in 8 games
- Ndoye2 goals2 goals, 0 assists, 2.3 xG in 9 games
Manchester City
- Haaland9 goals×99 goals, 0 assists, 6.7 xG in 9 games
- Cherki4 goals, 2 assists4 goals, 2 assists, 1.8 xG in 8 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.