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AnalysisLigue 1

Lucky and unlucky

Ligue 1: who the table flatters after matchday 8

Rennes have +5.5 points more than their chances deserved; Le Havre -8.3.

Published by The90Pro · 1 min read

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+5.5

Rennes, points above expected

Expected points replay every game with the same chances: each shot's xG decides how often it goes in. Teams above zero have more points than their chances earned, teams below have fewer.

Points minus expected points
  1. Rennes+5.5
  2. Lille+4.6
  3. Monaco+3.7
  4. Nice+2.8
  5. Marseille+2.5
  6. Lyon+1.4
  7. Lorient+1.1
  8. Lens+0.9
  9. Strasbourg+0.7
  10. Auxerre+0.3
  11. Paris Saint-Germain+0.1
  12. Paris FC−0.8
  13. Angers−1.3
  14. Le Mans−2.6
  15. Troyes−2.9
  16. Toulouse−4.1
  17. Brest−6.1
  18. Le Havre−8.3

In points.

Rennes are the biggest overachievers (16 points from 10.5 expected). Le Havre have the hardest luck (2 from 10.3).

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