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AnalysisLigue 1

Lucky and unlucky

Ligue 1: who the table flatters after matchday 9

Lille have +5.1 points more than their chances deserved; Le Havre -8.5.

Published by The90Pro · 1 min read

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+5.1

Lille, points above expected

Expected points replay every game with the same chances: each shot's xG decides how often it goes in. Teams above zero have more points than their chances earned, teams below have fewer.

Points minus expected points
  1. Lille+5.1
  2. Rennes+4.7
  3. Marseille+4.6
  4. Nice+3.9
  5. Monaco+3.2
  6. Lyon+1.8
  7. Strasbourg+0.8
  8. Lens+0.6
  9. Paris Saint-Germain+0.5
  10. Auxerre+0.2
  11. Paris FC−0.1
  12. Lorient−0.6
  13. Angers−1.5
  14. Le Mans−2.6
  15. Troyes−2.9
  16. Brest−4.1
  17. Toulouse−5.9
  18. Le Havre−8.5

In points.

Lille are the biggest overachievers (18 points from 12.9 expected). Le Havre have the hardest luck (2 from 10.5).

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