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AnalysisLigue 1

Lucky and unlucky

Ligue 1: who the table flatters after matchday 7

Monaco have +5.2 points more than their chances deserved; Le Havre -5.9.

Published by The90Pro · 1 min read

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+5.2

Monaco, points above expected

Expected points replay every game with the same chances: each shot's xG decides how often it goes in. Teams above zero have more points than their chances earned, teams below have fewer.

Points minus expected points
  1. Monaco+5.2
  2. Rennes+4.5
  3. Lille+4
  4. Lyon+2.5
  5. Lorient+1.6
  6. Strasbourg+1.5
  7. Auxerre+0.2
  8. Paris FC0
  9. Marseille0
  10. Nice−0.1
  11. Lens−0.3
  12. Paris Saint-Germain−1.3
  13. Angers−1.3
  14. Le Mans−1.7
  15. Troyes−3.1
  16. Brest−3.3
  17. Toulouse−3.4
  18. Le Havre−5.9

In points.

Monaco are the biggest overachievers (14 points from 8.8 expected). Le Havre have the hardest luck (2 from 7.9).

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