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AnalysisLaLiga

Lucky and unlucky

LaLiga: who the table flatters after matchday 9

Real Betis have +8.2 points more than their chances deserved; Villarreal -7.8.

Published by The90Pro · 1 min read

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+8.2

Real Betis, points above expected

Expected points replay every game with the same chances: each shot's xG decides how often it goes in. Teams above zero have more points than their chances earned, teams below have fewer.

Points minus expected points
  1. Real Betis+8.2
  2. Atlético Madrid+4.9
  3. Real Sociedad+4.5
  4. Sevilla+3.1
  5. Barcelona+3
  6. Getafe+2.5
  7. Real Madrid+0.2
  8. Celta Vigo−0.1
  9. Deportivo A Coruña−0.2
  10. Levante−0.3
  11. Racing Santander−0.6
  12. Deportivo Alavés−1.3
  13. Rayo Vallecano−1.4
  14. Osasuna−2.3
  15. Elche−3.2
  16. Athletic Club−3.5
  17. Espanyol−3.5
  18. Málaga−4.1
  19. Valencia−4.6
  20. Villarreal−7.8

In points.

Real Betis are the biggest overachievers (19 points from 10.8 expected). Villarreal have the hardest luck (9 from 16.8).

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