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AnalysisLaLiga

Lucky and unlucky

LaLiga: who the table flatters after matchday 11

Real Betis have +9.0 points more than their chances deserved; Villarreal -8.3.

Published by The90Pro · 1 min read

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+9.0

Real Betis, points above expected

Expected points replay every game with the same chances: each shot's xG decides how often it goes in. Teams above zero have more points than their chances earned, teams below have fewer.

Points minus expected points
  1. Real Betis+9
  2. Atlético Madrid+8.9
  3. Real Sociedad+4.5
  4. Sevilla+3.7
  5. Getafe+2.5
  6. Barcelona+2.4
  7. Real Madrid+1.5
  8. Rayo Vallecano−0.2
  9. Racing Santander−0.3
  10. Deportivo A Coruña−1.4
  11. Espanyol−1.4
  12. Athletic Club−1.5
  13. Celta Vigo−1.5
  14. Levante−2.2
  15. Deportivo Alavés−2.7
  16. Osasuna−3.8
  17. Valencia−3.8
  18. Elche−3.9
  19. Málaga−4.7
  20. Villarreal−8.3

In points.

Real Betis are the biggest overachievers (23 points from 14.0 expected). Villarreal have the hardest luck (12 from 20.3).

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