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Hoffenheim v Schalke 04, Bundesliga

Our call 2–1

Kick-off
Venue
SNP Arena

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1

  • Baumann
  • Kramarić
  • Prass
  • Avdullahu
  • Hložek
  • Burger
  • Philipp
  • Lemperle
  • Machida
  • Bernardo
  • Rots
  • Karius
  • Kuruçay
  • Katić
  • Becker
  • Gosens
  • Tanaka
  • Aouchiche
  • Gantenbein
  • Karaman
  • Adamu
  • Hwang

Bench

  • 5Kabak
  • 11Asllani
  • 14Daghim
  • 29Abraha
  • 32Lenz
  • 46Fields
  • 47Lässig

Bench

  • 33Becker
  • 10Džeko
  • 23El-Faouzi
  • 29Ebimbe
  • 43Ayhan
  • 21Ljubičić
  • 11Lasme

Hoffenheim

From 14 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 47% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Kramarić or Kabak
  • Prass or Kabak
  • Hložek or Kabak
  • Burger or Kabak
  • Philipp or Kabak
  • Lemperle or Kabak
  • Machida or Kabak
  • Bernardo or Kabak
  • Rots or Kabak

Out or doubtful

  • CoufalInjured, expected back About a week
  • ContéInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
  • HranácInjured, expected back late November
  • GendreyInjured, expected back early January
  • HajdariInjured, expected back early January
  • WimmerInjured, expected back mid November
  • MoerstedtInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
  • De CatInjured, expected back late November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Schalke 04

From 10 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 46% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Gosens or Becker
  • Gantenbein or Becker

Out or doubtful

  • El-FaouziDoubtful
  • EbimbeDoubtful
  • SyllaInjured, expected back early November
  • WöberInjured, expected back early January
  • VozarInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
  • SchallenbergInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
  • BachmannInjured, expected back mid November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Pyaet / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Sandro Halank / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Sidney.Cortez / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Hans Reefman / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Jeollo von VfB-exklusiv.de / CC BY 3.0 · Simon Mannweiler / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Антон Зайцев / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Silesia711 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Explicit / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Pangalau / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Steindy ( talk ) 09:35, 19 May 2018 (UTC) / CC BY-SA 4.0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Hoffenheim

12th in the table

  1. W
  2. W
  3. D
  4. L
  5. D
Goals
8–4
xG for / against
8.7–4.6
xG difference per game
+0.82

Schalke 04

17th in the table

  1. L
  2. L
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L
Goals
1–7
xG for / against
2.8–8.9
xG difference per game
−1.22

From our model

Our call

Our call

2–1

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • HOF 62%
  • Draw 20%
  • SCH 18%

Likeliest scores

  1. 2–0

    12%

  2. 1–0

    11%

  3. 2–1

    10%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Schalke 04 haven't won in 5
  • Schalke 04's xG is down to 0.57 a game over their last 5, from 0.96 across the season
  • Last meeting: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke 04 (9 Apr 2023)

This season

Players to watch

Hoffenheim

Schalke 04

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.