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Toulouse v Strasbourg, Ligue 1

Our call 2–0

Kick-off
Venue
Stadium de Toulouse

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Toulouse

4-4-2

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1

  • Restes
  • Tapé
  • McKenzie
  • Nicolaisen
  • Diallo
  • Jørgensen
  • Cásseres
  • Sigur
  • Vossah
  • Russell-Rowe
  • Tengstedt
  • Jörgensen
  • Oso
  • Mitchell
  • Coulibaly
  • Antwi
  • Reyna
  • Essugo
  • Godo
  • Sousa
  • Harder
  • Yassine

Bench

  • 37Azizi
  • 5Koumbassa
  • 9Hidalgo
  • 31Schmidt
  • 7Vignolo
  • 60Niflore
  • 10Gboho

Bench

  • 21Diop
  • 29El Mourabet
  • 24Høgsberg
  • 30Ortega
  • 6Doukouré
  • 7Amo-Ameyaw
  • 11Nanasi

Toulouse

From 9 games this season; 4-4-2, the shape in 51% of them, weighted to recent games.

Out or doubtful

  • MessaliInjured, expected back early December
  • DønnumSuspended, expected back early November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Strasbourg

From 9 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 94% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Reyna or Diop
  • Essugo or Diop
  • Godo or Diop
  • Sousa or Diop

Out or doubtful

  • BaldéInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Gaillac / CC0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Gaillac / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Quinntropy / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Stbann, CC0 · Silesia711 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · Zafer / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Oscar0123 / CC BY 4.0 · Abdelali Bentarki / CC BY 4.0 · Paté kroute / CC0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Toulouse

12th in the table

  1. W
  2. D
  3. W
  4. D
  5. L
Goals
8–6
xG for / against
7.6–6.0
xG difference per game
+0.33

Strasbourg

13th in the table

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
Goals
8–11
xG for / against
6.3–7.1
xG difference per game
−0.16

From our model

Our call

Our call

2–0

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • TOU 47%
  • Draw 26%
  • STR 27%

Likeliest scores

  1. 1–1

    11%

  2. 2–1

    10%

  3. 1–0

    9%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Last meeting: Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse (3 May 2026)

This season

Players to watch

Toulouse

Strasbourg

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.