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Paris Saint-Germain v Troyes, Ligue 1

Kick-off
Venue
Parc des Princes

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Paris Saint-Germain

4-3-3

Troyes

4-3-3

  • Safonov
  • Digne
  • Zabarnyi
  • Pacho
  • Hakimi
  • João Neves
  • Vítinha
  • Ruiz
  • Doué
  • Mayulu
  • Akliouche
  • Beach
  • Gozzi
  • Monfray
  • Diaz
  • Maronnier
  • Diop
  • Karim
  • Mille
  • Nkada
  • Ripart
  • Ifnaou

Bench

  • 33Zaïre-Emery
  • 21Hernández
  • 9Ferran Torres
  • 27Fernández
  • 22Godts
  • 4Beraldo
  • 47Ndjantou

Bench

  • 7Diawara
  • 11Gomis
  • 9Le Douaron
  • 40Konaté
  • 22Picard
  • 31Donkor
  • 44Titi

Paris Saint-Germain

From 14 games this season; 4-3-3, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Zabarnyi or Hernández
  • João Neves or Fernández
  • Doué or Godts
  • Vítinha or Fernández
  • Digne or Hernández
  • Mayulu or Ferran Torres
  • Pacho or Hernández
  • Ruiz or Fernández

Out or doubtful

  • KvaratskheliaInjured, expected back Out for season
  • DembéléInjured, expected back A few weeks
  • MarquinhosInjured, expected back A few weeks
  • Nuno MendesInjured, expected back A few weeks

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Troyes

From 9 games this season; 4-3-3, the shape in 63% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Beach or Konaté

Out or doubtful

  • OuzenadjiInjured, expected back early November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Paté kroute / CC0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · AFC Bournemouth / CC BY 3.0 · Supporterhéninois / CC0 · Fexedyte / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Paul Vaurie / CC0 · Hypotypose1 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · SonoGrazy / CC BY-SA 4.0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Paris Saint-Germain

1st in the table

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
Goals
20–4
xG for / against
14.3–7.2
xG difference per game
+1.40

Troyes

16th in the table

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. D
  5. W
Goals
3–7
xG for / against
6.4–6.1
xG difference per game
+0.05

From our model

Our call

Our call

5–0

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • PSG 94%
  • Draw 5%
  • TRO 1%

Likeliest scores

  1. 5–0

    12%

  2. 4–0

    12%

  3. 6–0

    11%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Paris Saint-Germain took 15 points from their last 5, Troyes 4
  • Paris Saint-Germain's xG is up to 3.37 a game over their last 5, from 2.65 across the season
  • Paris Saint-Germain have won 5 in a row
  • Paris Saint-Germain create 3.37 xG a game lately; Troyes allow 1.22

This season

Players to watch

Paris Saint-Germain

Troyes

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.