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Le Mans v Monaco, Ligue 1

Our call 0–1

Kick-off
Venue
Stade Marie-Marvingt

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Le Mans

3-1-4-2

Monaco

4-2-3-1

  • Kocik
  • Yohou
  • Boissé
  • Voyer
  • Lauray
  • Calodat
  • Bretelle
  • Vercruysse
  • Buadés
  • Mafouta
  • Diallo
  • Hrádecky
  • Nazinho
  • Sané
  • Dier
  • Vanderson
  • Camara
  • Zakaria
  • Abline
  • Golovin
  • Diop
  • Brunner

Bench

  • 26Bamba
  • 9Rabillard
  • 25Gueye
  • 16Torrente
  • 76Larouci
  • 23Traoré
  • 1Hatfout

Bench

  • 4Teze
  • 7Detourbet
  • 18Minamino
  • 13Mawissa
  • 28Coulibaly
  • 9Balogun
  • 22Salisu

Le Mans

From 9 games this season; 3-1-4-2, the shape in 57% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Diallo or Gueye
  • Buadés or Bamba
  • Vercruysse or Rabillard

Out or doubtful

  • SidibéInjured, expected back mid November
  • BourabaaInjured, expected back early January
  • EyoumInjured, expected back mid November
  • ColasInjured, expected back mid November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Monaco

From 12 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 75% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Abline or Detourbet
  • Dier or Teze

Out or doubtful

  • FatiInjured, expected back late December
  • IdumboInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Supporterhéninois / CC0 · Pogbatinho / CC BY 4.0 · Hypotypose1 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · ESTAC Troyes / CC BY 3.0 · Fuguito / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Steffen Prößdorf / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Антон Зайцев / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Ybarthaux / CC BY 4.0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Le Mans

17th in the table

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. D
  5. L
Goals
4–10
xG for / against
5.1–10.4
xG difference per game
−1.08

Monaco

7th in the table

  1. L
  2. W
  3. D
  4. L
  5. W
Goals
7–5
xG for / against
7.5–5.4
xG difference per game
+0.41

From our model

Our call

Our call

0–1

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • LMA 17%
  • Draw 20%
  • ASM 63%

Likeliest scores

  1. 0–2

    11%

  2. 0–1

    10%

  3. 1–2

    10%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Le Mans's xG is down to 1.00 a game over their last 5, from 1.39 across the season
  • Last meeting: Monaco 2-1 Le Mans (17 May 2013)

This season

Players to watch

Le Mans

Monaco

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.