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Le Havre v Lorient, Ligue 1

Our call 1–0

Kick-off
Venue
Stade CMA CGM Océane

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Le Havre

3-4-2-1

Lorient

3-4-2-1

  • Gallon
  • Touba
  • Mwanga
  • Sasso
  • N'Diaye
  • Ebonog
  • Richardson
  • Ouziad
  • Fofana
  • Nakamura
  • Maja
  • Mvogo
  • Adjei
  • Talbi
  • Touré
  • Kouassi
  • Cadiou
  • Avom
  • Sylla
  • Makengo
  • Bernardeau
  • Baldé

Bench

  • 25Samatta
  • 14Ndiaye
  • 27Koffi
  • 17Mizuta
  • 16Bodart
  • 33Dongopandji
  • 13Doucouré

Bench

  • 19Faye
  • 42Koné
  • 10Jensen
  • 72Mbamba
  • 2Georgen
  • 11Le Bris
  • 30Kuzmić

Le Havre

From 9 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 30% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Sasso or Samatta
  • Fofana or Samatta
  • Nakamura or Samatta
  • N'Diaye or Samatta

Out or doubtful

  • SekoSuspended, expected back early November
  • JelertInjured, expected back mid November
  • PembéléInjured, expected back mid November
  • Mpasi-NzauInjured, expected back mid November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Lorient

From 9 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 88% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Bernardeau or Faye

Out or doubtful

  • KatserisInjured, expected back mid November
  • FadigaInjured, expected back mid November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Supporterhéninois / CC0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Nawfel Ajari / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · RABASANTA / CC BY 4.0 · A. Buser / CC BY-SA 3.0 ch · Антон Зайцев / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Fédération Guinéenne Football / Public domain · Gaillac / CC BY-SA 4.0 · DDectateur / CC0 · Yoslo30 / CC0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Le Havre

18th in the table

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
Goals
7–16
xG for / against
10.1–11.8
xG difference per game
−0.33

Lorient

11th in the table

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. D
  5. L
Goals
3–4
xG for / against
5.4–4.0
xG difference per game
+0.29

From our model

Our call

Our call

1–0

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • LHA 38%
  • Draw 28%
  • LOR 34%

Likeliest scores

  1. 1–1

    14%

  2. 1–0

    10%

  3. 0–1

    10%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Le Havre haven't won in 5
  • Lorient took 7 points from their last 5, Le Havre 0
  • Le Havre have scored 7 from 10.1 xG in their last 5
  • Le Havre create 2.01 xG a game lately; Lorient allow 0.80

This season

Players to watch

Le Havre

Lorient

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.