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Sunderland v Chelsea, Premier League

Our call 0–1

Kick-off
Venue
Stadium of Light

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1

Chelsea

4-2-3-1

  • Roefs
  • Reinildo
  • Danso
  • O'Nien
  • Hume
  • Xhaka
  • Sadiki
  • Angulo
  • Le Fée
  • Rigg
  • Brobbey
  • Penders
  • Palestra
  • Colwill
  • Fofana
  • Acheampong
  • Caicedo
  • Lavia
  • Rogers
  • Palmer
  • Estêvão
  • Pedro Neto

Bench

  • 39Fofana
  • 29Ahoka
  • 6Méthalie
  • 57Tuterov
  • 12Meunier
  • 20Mukiele
  • 18Isidor

Bench

  • 14Henderson
  • 18Welbeck
  • 27Gusto
  • 23Quenda
  • 4Barco
  • 29Chavarría
  • 31Watson

Sunderland

From 15 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Reinildo or Méthalie
  • Brobbey or Tuterov

Out or doubtful

  • AldereteSuspended, expected back early November
  • MukieleDoubtful
  • DiarraInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
  • BallardInjured, expected back early November
  • MundleInjured, expected back early January

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Chelsea

From 12 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 51% of them, weighted to recent games.

Out or doubtful

  • LacroixInjured, expected back early January
  • HatoInjured, expected back mid November
  • Emi MartínezInjured, expected back early November
  • João PedroInjured, expected back early November
  • JamesInjured, expected back mid January
  • GittensInjured, expected back Back in training
  • AnselminoInjured, expected back mid November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Timmy96 / CC0 · Quintin Soloviev / CC BY 4.0 · 13tez / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Carlo Bruil Fotografie / CC BY 2.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Steffen Prößdorf / CC BY-SA 4.0 · The White House, Public domain · NullReason / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Кирилл Венедиктов / CC BY-SA 3.0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Sunderland

20th in the table

  1. D
  2. D
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
Goals
5–8
xG for / against
9.6–8.2
xG difference per game
+0.27

Chelsea

4th in the table

  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. D
  5. W
Goals
10–4
xG for / against
7.8–5.9
xG difference per game
+0.38

From our model

Our call

Our call

0–1

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • SUN 23%
  • Draw 25%
  • CHE 52%

Likeliest scores

  1. 0–1

    12%

  2. 0–2

    12%

  3. 1–1

    11%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Chelsea took 9 points from their last 5, Sunderland 1
  • Sunderland haven't won in 5
  • Last meeting: Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea (24 May 2026)

This season

Players to watch

Sunderland

Chelsea

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.