Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Old Trafford
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
1Lammens
2Dalot
5Maguire- 26Heaven
15Yoro
17Andrey Santos
37Mainoo
10Cunha
8Bruno Fernandes
16Amad
19Mbeumo
1Suzuki
22Maatsen
3Lindelöf
14Pau Torres
2Cash
8Kamara
35Gomes- 44Manzambi
7McGinn- 47Alysson
11Jackson
Bench
18Tielemans
7Mount
3Mazraoui
11Zirkzee
4de Ligt- 31Lacey
12Darlow
Bench
10Buendía
27Goretzka
5Mings
6Barkley
19Mbaye- 53Hemmings
4Harwood-Bellis
Manchester United
From 14 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Bruno Fernandes or Tielemans
- Mainoo or Tielemans
Out or doubtful
- BalebaInjured, expected back late November
- Lisandro MartínezSuspended, expected back early November
- RashfordInjured, expected back A few days
- ShawInjured, expected back early November
- DorguInjured, expected back early November
- SeskoInjured, expected back early January
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Aston Villa
From 15 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 93% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Manzambi or Buendía
- Gomes or Goretzka
- McGinn or Buendía
Out or doubtful
- Wan-BissakaInjured, expected back mid November
- RuggeriInjured, expected back mid December
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · UK Prime Minister / CC BY 2.0 · Supporterhéninois / CC0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · AFC Bournemouth / CC BY 3.0 · Brian Minkoff London-Pixels / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Sven Mandel / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Femke Kruize / CC BY-SA 2.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · RuinDig/Yuki Uchida / CC BY 4.0 · u/reepers_hellcat / CC BY 4.0 · Rolandhino1 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · MintyGel / CC0 · Nottingham Forest F.C. / CC0 · Æthelred / CC BY 4.0 · DavidPMaynard / CC BY-SA 4.0 · https://www.flickr.com/photos/cfcunofficial / CC BY-SA 2.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Manchester United
17th in the table
- D
- L
- L
- L
- W
- Goals
- 5–12
- xG for / against
- 7.1–10.2
- xG difference per game
- −0.63
Aston Villa
10th in the table
- W
- W
- L
- D
- L
- Goals
- 6–9
- xG for / against
- 7.4–9.3
- xG difference per game
- −0.37
From our model
Our call
Our call
1–0
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- MUN 49%
- Draw 24%
- AVL 27%
Likeliest scores
1–1
12%
2–1
9%
1–0
9%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Aston Villa took 11 points from their last 5, Manchester United 3
- Manchester United haven't won in 5
- Manchester United's xG is down to 1.15 a game over their last 5, from 1.56 across the season
- Last meeting: Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa (15 Mar 2026)
This season
Players to watch
Manchester United
- Mbeumo4 goals4 goals, 0 assists, 4.2 xG in 9 games
- Bruno Fernandes3 goals, 1 assist3 goals, 1 assist, 3.0 xG in 8 games
Aston Villa
- Jackson5 goals5 goals, 0 assists, 2.2 xG in 8 games
- Manzambi2 goals, 3 assists2 goals, 3 assists, 1.6 xG in 6 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.