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Arsenal v Hull City, Premier League

Our call 3–0

Kick-off
Venue
Emirates Stadium

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1

Hull City

5-4-1

  • Raya
  • Calafiori
  • Gabriel
  • Konsa
  • White
  • Rice
  • Bruno Guimarães
  • Eze
  • Ødegaard
  • Madueke
  • Gyökeres
  • Tzolakis
  • Giles
  • Ajayi
  • Egan
  • Mendy
  • Coyle
  • Stroud
  • Slater
  • Iroegbunam
  • Belloumi
  • McBurnie

Bench

  • 29Havertz
  • 12Timber
  • 49Lewis-Skelly
  • 23Merino
  • 36Zubimendi
  • 5Hincapié
  • 17Tzolis

Bench

  • 22Herrington
  • 25Crooks
  • 7Thomas
  • 11Gelhardt
  • 18Norton-Cuffy
  • 5Morita
  • 50Cho

Arsenal

From 16 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 98% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • White or Timber
  • Gyökeres or Havertz
  • Bruno Guimarães or Lewis-Skelly

Out or doubtful

  • SakaInjured, expected back mid November
  • DowmanSuspended, expected back late November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Hull City

From 11 games this season; 5-4-1, the shape in 83% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Mendy or Herrington
  • Iroegbunam or Crooks

Out or doubtful

  • Gourna-DouathDoubtful
  • TargettInjured, expected back mid December
  • AnsahInjured, expected back early November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Chensiyuan / CC BY-SA 4.0 · James Boyes from UK / CC BY 2.0 · Abhignya thakore / CC0 · Mikael Hervestad / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bjelica / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · joshjdss, CC BY 2.0 · Paté kroute / CC0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Arsenal

1st in the table

  1. D
  2. W
  3. D
  4. W
  5. W
Goals
8–4
xG for / against
8.0–6.5
xG difference per game
+0.32

Hull City

11th in the table

  1. L
  2. D
  3. L
  4. D
  5. D
Goals
6–8
xG for / against
5.6–7.4
xG difference per game
−0.35

From our model

Our call

Our call

3–0

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • ARS 90%
  • Draw 8%
  • HUL 2%

Likeliest scores

  1. 3–0

    15%

  2. 2–0

    14%

  3. 4–0

    12%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Arsenal took 12 points from their last 5, Hull City 3
  • Arsenal have won 4 in a row
  • Hull City haven't won in 5
  • Last meeting: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City (11 Feb 2017)

This season

Players to watch

Arsenal

Hull City

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.