Parma v Bologna, Serie A
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Stadio Ennio Tardini
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Parma
3-5-2
Bologna
3-4-2-1
- 40Corvi
- 37Troilo
- 15Del Prato
34Carlos- 14Valeri
- 16Keita
4Sierro- 32Ordóñez
- 27Britschgi
- 9Romero
- 19Touré
- 1Skorupski
3Theate- 16Casale
36Darmian
33Miranda
4Pobega
19Ferguson
20Zortea
10Bernardeschi- 28Cambiaghi
21Odgaard
Bench
80Fabbian- 76Lontani
- 30Daffara
- 72Drobnič
29Carboni- 20Frigan
- 23Elphege
Bench
91Piccoli
14Heggem- 41Vitík
- 23Alhassane
- 11Mbangula
- 5Helland
- 25Pessina
Parma
From 12 games this season; 3-5-2, the shape in 61% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Romero or Lontani
- Touré or Lontani
- Ordóñez or Fabbian
Out or doubtful
- DrobničDoubtful
- BernabéInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Bologna
From 10 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 47% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Odgaard or Piccoli
- Darmian or Heggem
Out or doubtful
- HolmInjured, expected back late February
- EnemDoubtful
- De SilvestriDoubtful
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: James Boyes from UK / CC BY 2.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · SonoGrazy / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Clément Bucco-Lechat / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Tobias Nüssel / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Sandrino 14 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Kirill Venediktov / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Carlo Bruil / CC BY 2.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Parma
15th in the table
- L
- L
- L
- D
- W
- Goals
- 4–8
- xG for / against
- 4.2–9.9
- xG difference per game
- −1.14
Bologna
9th in the table
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- Goals
- 11–7
- xG for / against
- 8.5–8.7
- xG difference per game
- −0.05
From our model
Our call
Our call
1–2
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- PAR 24%
- Draw 27%
- BOL 49%
Likeliest scores
1–1
12%
0–1
11%
0–2
10%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Bologna took 12 points from their last 5, Parma 4
- Last meeting: Bologna 0-1 Parma (8 Feb 2026)
This season
Players to watch
Parma
- Lontani3 goals3 goals, 0 assists, 0.8 xG in 10 games
- Fabbian1 goal, 2 assists1 goal, 2 assists, 0.4 xG in 8 games
Bologna
- Miranda5 assists0 goals, 5 assists, 0.1 xG in 9 games
- Bernardeschi3 goals3 goals, 0 assists, 2.6 xG in 10 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.