Napoli v Lazio, Serie A
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Napoli
4-3-3
Lazio
4-3-3
1Meret
6Gilmour- 16Marín
- 13Rrahmani
20Lucca
8McTominay- 99Anguissa
11De Bruyne
70Lang
19Højlund- 21Politano
35Mandas
17Tavares- 25Provstgaard
37Sutalo- 15Mussolini
24Taylor- 21Belahyane
16Frattesi- 22Cancellieri
14Noslin- 11Isaksen
Bench
- 26Vergara
- 31Beukema
32Milinković-Savić- 23Giovane
Bench
- 2Leite
5Doekhi
23Pedraza- 7Dele-Bashiru
- 9Pinamonti
29Lazzari
19Dia
Napoli
From 14 games this season; 4-3-3, the shape in 64% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Gilmour or Vergara
- Lucca or Vergara
Out or doubtful
- Di LorenzoInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
- OliveraInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
- LobotkaInjured, expected back late December
- BadiashileInjured, expected back early December
- SpinazzolaInjured, expected back mid November
- MarianucciSuspended, expected back early November
- NeresInjured, expected back mid November
- SantosInjured, expected back mid November
- FavasuliInjured, expected back mid November
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Lazio
From 11 games this season; 4-3-3, the shape in 100% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Cancellieri or Leite
Out or doubtful
- ZaccagniInjured, expected back early December
- RovellaDoubtful
- MarusicDoubtful
- GudmundssonInjured, expected back mid November
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Rapallo80 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Mattythewhite / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Original: Giova36 / Derivative work: Danyele / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Steindy ( talk ) 23:03, 30 March 2017 (UTC) / CC BY 3.0 · Locked Down Spectator / CC BY 3.0 · Vux33 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · Sport Lisboa e Benfica / CC BY 3.0 · Carlo Bruil Fotografie / CC BY 2.0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lear 21 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Антон Зайцев / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Bigmatbasket / CC BY-SA 4.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Napoli
8th in the table
- W
- D
- W
- L
- L
- Goals
- 12–13
- xG for / against
- 7.7–9.4
- xG difference per game
- −0.34
Lazio
1st in the table
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- Goals
- 16–5
- xG for / against
- 8.6–5.1
- xG difference per game
- +0.69
From our model
Our call
Our call
2–1
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- NAP 59%
- Draw 24%
- LAZ 17%
Likeliest scores
2–1
10%
1–1
10%
2–0
8%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Lazio have scored 16 from 8.6 xG in their last 5
- Lazio took 15 points from their last 5, Napoli 7
- Lazio have won 5 in a row
- Napoli create 2.02 xG a game lately; Lazio allow 1.02
This season
Players to watch
Napoli
- De Bruyne4 goals, 1 assist4 goals, 1 assist, 3.3 xG in 10 games
- Politano2 goals, 3 assists2 goals, 3 assists, 1.3 xG in 10 games
Lazio
- Zaccagni2 goals, 5 assists2 goals, 5 assists, 3.8 xG in 10 games
- Noslin4 goals, 3 assists4 goals, 3 assists, 2.0 xG in 9 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.