Monza v Atalanta, Serie A
- Kick-off
- Venue
- U-Power Stadium
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Monza
3-4-2-1
Atalanta
4-2-3-1
1Törnqvist- 60Kouadio
3Lucchesi
2Goglichidze- 7Mangas
- 8Ondoa
- 14Akinsanmiro
- 19Birindelli
46Robinson
47Mota- 9Varela
29Carnesecchi
99Elmas- 40Obrić
- 47Bernasconi
- 10Samardžić
8Pašalić
11Rowe- 41Idele
- 42Scalvini
59Zalewski
77Zappacosta
Bench
- 44Carboni
- 22Zeballos
- 16Ngonge
- 24Bakoune
- 21Colombo
10Cutrone- 20Thiam
Bench
17De Ketelaere- 13Éderson
90Krstović
7Sulemana
Monza
From 12 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 97% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Kouadio or Carboni
- Lucchesi or Carboni
- Goglichidze or Carboni
Out or doubtful
- FolorunshoInjured, expected back mid November
- MayeInjured, expected back Back in training
- ZiólkowskiDoubtful
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Atalanta
From 13 games this season; 4-2-3-1, the shape in 82% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Elmas or De Ketelaere
- Obrić or De Ketelaere
- Bernasconi or De Ketelaere
- Samardžić or De Ketelaere
- Pašalić or De Ketelaere
- Rowe or De Ketelaere
- Idele or De Ketelaere
- Scalvini or De Ketelaere
- Zalewski or De Ketelaere
- Zappacosta or De Ketelaere
Out or doubtful
- KristensenInjured, expected back mid November
- GaetanoInjured, expected back late November
- ScamaccaInjured, expected back mid November
- BellanovaInjured, expected back mid November
- KolasinacInjured, expected back About 1-2 weeks
- KessiéInjured, expected back mid November
- KossounouInjured, expected back mid November
- RaspadoriInjured, expected back mid November
- PompeiInjured, expected back mid November
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Amanda Aikioniemi / Public domain · Nehme1499 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Timmy96 / CC0 · Valencia CF / CC BY 3.0 · MichaelEmilio / CC BY 4.0 · Антон Зайцев / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Ago76 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Giangiacomo Toma / CC BY 4.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Monza
18th in the table
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- Goals
- 9–12
- xG for / against
- 7.6–9.2
- xG difference per game
- −0.32
Atalanta
13th in the table
- L
- D
- D
- L
- D
- Goals
- 7–12
- xG for / against
- 10.7–6.3
- xG difference per game
- +0.88
From our model
Our call
Our call
1–2
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- MON 17%
- Draw 22%
- ATA 61%
Likeliest scores
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–2
7%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Atalanta's xG is up to 2.34 a game over their last 5, from 1.58 across the season
- Last meeting: Monza 0-4 Atalanta (4 May 2025)
This season
Players to watch
Monza
- Varela9 goals, 1 assist×99 goals, 1 assist, 5.1 xG in 9 games
- Robinson2 goals, 1 assist2 goals, 1 assist, 1.2 xG in 8 games
Atalanta
- Krstović6 goals, 2 assists6 goals, 2 assists, 4.6 xG in 10 games
- De Ketelaere1 goal, 3 assists1 goal, 3 assists, 1.7 xG in 10 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.