Genoa v Milan, Serie A
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Our model, until the team news
Predicted line-ups
Genoa
3-4-2-1
Milan
3-4-2-1
1Bijlow
5Østigard
22Vásquez- 27Marcandalli
92El Shaarawy- 32Frendrup
25Traorè- 77Ellertsson
10Messias
8Baldanzi- 18Osmajic
16Maignan
5De Winter- 31Pavlović
34Gila
- 33Bartesaghi
14Modrić80Musah
22Moreira
11Pulisic
12Rabiot
9Ramos
Bench
- 71Wiafe
3Ehizibue- 9Vítinha
- 4Amorim
- 34Otoa
- 29Colombo
- 31Puczka
Bench
- 30Jashari
- 70Cissè
20Hutchinson- 13Diawara
2Estupinán- 42Terracciano
- 73Camarda
Genoa
From 12 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 52% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Baldanzi or Vítinha
- Traorè or Wiafe
Out or doubtful
- HavelDoubtful
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Milan
From 14 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 49% of them, weighted to recent games.
Close calls
- Pulisic or Cissè
- Rabiot or Cissè
- Bartesaghi or Diawara
- Modrić or Jashari
- Gila or Diawara
- Musah or Jashari
Out or doubtful
- TomoriInjured, expected back mid November
- ChukwuezeInjured, expected back mid January
- Loftus-CheekInjured, expected back late November
- SaelemaekersInjured, expected back mid January
- GabbiaInjured, expected back early January
- TerraccianoDoubtful
Injury and suspension news read for this game.
Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Carlo Bruil Fotografie / CC BY 2.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Selección Nacional de México / CC BY 3.0 · Clément Bucco-Lechat / CC BY-SA 3.0 · AFC Bournemouth / CC BY 3.0 · TVSEI / CC BY 3.0 · Jimmy Baikovicius from Montevideo, Uruguay / CC BY-SA 2.0 · Sandro Halank / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Nuță Lucian from Cluj-Napoca, Romania, CC BY-SA 2.0 · حسین ظهروند, CC BY 4.0 · James Cracknell / CC BY-SA 4.0
Last 5 games
Coming in form
Genoa
11th in the table
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- Goals
- 7–4
- xG for / against
- 4.6–6.3
- xG difference per game
- −0.35
Milan
5th in the table
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- Goals
- 7–10
- xG for / against
- 6.6–10.3
- xG difference per game
- −0.73
From our model
Our call
Our call
0–1
Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.
- GEN 18%
- Draw 25%
- MIL 57%
Likeliest scores
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
1–2
9%
Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.
- Last meeting: Genoa 1-2 Milan (17 May 2026)
This season
Players to watch
Genoa
- Osmajic4 goals, 1 assist4 goals, 1 assist, 2.0 xG in 9 games
- Messias2 goals, 1 assist2 goals, 1 assist, 1.4 xG in 10 games
Milan
- Rabiot5 goals, 3 assists5 goals, 3 assists, 1.4 xG in 8 games
- Moreira4 goals, 3 assists4 goals, 3 assists, 1.0 xG in 6 games
Recent meetings
Head to head
These two have not met in the games we hold.