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Roma v Sassuolo, Serie A

Our call 3–0

Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Olimpico

Our model, until the team news

Predicted line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1

Sassuolo

4-3-3

  • Gollini
  • Hermoso
  • N'Dicka
  • Mancini
  • Wesley
  • Cristante
  • de Roon
  • Lulli
  • Soulé
  • Mora
  • Malen
  • Turati
  • Doig
  • Ćaleta-Car
  • Odenthal
  • Cinquegrano
  • Matic
  • Adzic
  • Bakola
  • Laurienté
  • Esposito
  • Berardi

Bench

  • 20Molina
  • 61Pisilli
  • 26Balerdi
  • 87Ghilardi
  • 9Castro
  • 3Koulierakis
  • 32Vásquez

Bench

  • 42Thorstvedt
  • 49Muric
  • 35Lipani
  • 20Van Der Brempt
  • 9Bowie
  • 5Candé
  • 33Obrador

Roma

From 14 games this season; 3-4-2-1, the shape in 79% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Lulli or Molina
  • Mancini or Balerdi

Out or doubtful

  • RenschInjured, expected back late November
  • DybalaInjured, expected back Back in training
  • KonéDoubtful
  • SvilarInjured, expected back mid November
  • PellegriniInjured, expected back late November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Sassuolo

From 12 games this season; 4-3-3, the shape in 81% of them, weighted to recent games.

Close calls

  • Cinquegrano or Van Der Brempt
  • Odenthal or Candé
  • Turati or Muric

Out or doubtful

  • LeysenInjured, expected back Out for season
  • VolpatoInjured, expected back mid November

Injury and suspension news read for this game.

Our guess from each side's line-ups this season, recent form, the opponent and the injury news. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off. Photos: Ago76, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Bryan Berlin / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Werner100359 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Ago76 / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Original: BugWarp / Derivative work: Danuele / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Sandro Halank / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Paté kroute / CC0 · LittleWhites / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Carlo Bruil Fotografie / CC BY 2.0 · Antonio Fraioli / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Anneprudence / CC BY 4.0

Last 5 games

Coming in form

Roma

3rd in the table

  1. W
  2. D
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
Goals
18–10
xG for / against
12.4–9.3
xG difference per game
+0.62

Sassuolo

17th in the table

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
Goals
7–17
xG for / against
5.1–11.4
xG difference per game
−1.25

From our model

Our call

Our call

3–0

Frozen at kick-off, never changed afterwards. A model estimate, not betting advice.

  • ROM 75%
  • Draw 16%
  • SAS 9%

Likeliest scores

  1. 3–0

    8%

  2. 3–1

    8%

  3. 4–0

    7%

Even the likeliest score happens in only about 1 game in 8, so here are the top three.

  • Roma took 11 points from their last 5, Sassuolo 1
  • Roma have scored 14 from 10.1 xG in their last 5
  • Sassuolo haven't won in 5
  • Sassuolo's xG is down to 1.02 a game over their last 5, from 1.38 across the season

This season

Players to watch

Roma

Sassuolo

Recent meetings

Head to head

These two have not met in the games we hold.